This Week On The Tape · Oct 20, 2026
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Oct 20 board: Florentino −13.7% to $56.53, Gonzales +2.2% to $70.00, Holliday −1.6% to $108.75, Fischer −0.4% to $152.85 and Aloy unchanged at $55.00; no seat moved, and $1.53 now separates #4 from #5. (Sold mark = the median of each card’s dated SportsCardsPro sales over the last 30 days, read Oct 20. Moves are against the Oct 13 mark, the last read.)
Top: Gonzales +2.2% ($68.50 → $70.00 on 13 sales Sep 20–Oct 20); last sale $65.00 on Oct 16.
Bottom: Florentino −13.7% ($65.50 → $56.53 on 12 sales), the board’s largest move either way; last sale $56.06 on Oct 19. That puts his mark under the $65 line in his box, and by our own words the buyers who carried him onto this board have stepped back. His Aug 18 Buy was graded wrong, final, on Oct 13; nothing is renewed.
The call we own this week: Fischer. His $115 line read as a print level, and two prints have now landed under it: $105.00 on Oct 8 and $108.50 on Oct 19. We reworded it as a mark level on Oct 20. The mark is $152.85 on 18 sales, so the Hold stands, and it breaks if the mark falls under $115.
The rest: Holliday $110.50 → $108.75 on 8 sales, the thinnest count on the board (last sale $107.50 on Oct 14); Aloy $55.00 on 13 sales (last sale $66.00 on Oct 19).
Corrected Oct 20, 2026: Holliday’s box said his only 2026 Bowman Chrome (Sep) card was base BCP-209. The set also carries a Mega Box auto, CPA-EHO. Neither is a 1st; his 1st auto is still 2026 Bowman (May) CPA-EH.
Watch the #4/#5 line: Florentino leads Aloy by $1.53.
Seats: 1 Fischer · 2 Holliday · 3 Gonzales · 4 Florentino · 5 Aloy. Full ledger on
the Scorecard.
This Week On The Tape · Oct 13, 2026
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Oct 13 board: Holliday +5.2% to $110.50, Florentino −5.1% to $65.50, Gonzales −2.1% to $68.50, Fischer −1.0% to $153.50 and Aloy −3.5% to $55.00; no seat moved, and Florentino’s Aug 18 Buy is graded wrong at −17.4%. (Sold mark = the median of each card’s dated SportsCardsPro sales over the last 30 days, read Oct 13. Moves are against the Oct 6 mark, the last read.)
Top: Holliday +5.2% ($105.00 → $110.50 on 11 sales Sep 13–Oct 13); his last sale is $139.99 on Oct 8, 27% above the mark, and it is one print.
Bottom: Florentino −5.1% ($69.00 → $65.50 on 12 sales, down from 19 as older sales leave the window), the board’s largest fall; last sale $72.00 on Oct 9.
The call we own this week: the Buy logged Aug 18 at $79.32 reached its Oct 13 finalization date, and on the sold mark it reads
−17.4%. By the rule on the Scorecard (wrong at −10% or worse) it is graded
wrong, final. We are not renewing it, and his verdict below now reads Watch. His $65.00 line, the level under which we said the buyers had stepped back, sits $0.50 under the mark.
Fischer −1.0% ($155.00 → $153.50 on 19 sales, down from 25): two sales printed on Oct 8, $105.00 and $117.50, both far under the mark, and the $115 level in his box is a print level, so we say plainly that one of them is under it. A median of 19 held; the Hold stands.
The rest: Gonzales $70.00 → $68.50 on 18 sales (last sale $65.00 Oct 8), now $3.00 ahead of Florentino for #3; Aloy $57.00 → $55.00 on 13 sales (last sale $50.00 Oct 9). Kim has still not sold since Aug 5; his Wait call was also due Oct 13 and is final, inside the band, not graded.
Seats: 1 Fischer · 2 Holliday · 3 Gonzales · 4 Florentino · 5 Aloy. Full ledger on
the Scorecard.
This Week On The Tape · Oct 6, 2026
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Oct 6 board: Fischer +4.2% to $155.00, Gonzales −11.9% to $70.00, Holliday −2.6% to $105.00 and Florentino −0.7% to $69.00; Kim comes off the board with no sale since Aug 5 and Aloy takes #5 at $57.00. (Sold mark = the median of each card’s dated SportsCardsPro sales over the last 30 days, read Oct 6. Moves are against the Sep 29 mark, the last read.)
Two things moved on the ladder: Kim is out, and Aloy is in.
Kim: his last sale is $122.50 on Aug 5, so he has no 30-day mark (his 90-day median is $130.00 on 5 sales), and the rule on this page is that a card needs a sale inside 30 days to rank. We parked him at #5 on that gate on Sep 18; with nothing printed in the 30 days since, there is no mark to rank, and he moves to Off the Board and the watch tier with his Pass intact.
Aloy: $57.00 on 19 sales Sep 6–Oct 6, the highest sold mark of any card not already seated. The next two are Gage Jump at $50.00 (a 90-day median; one sale in the last 30 days) and Arquette at $41.00 on 5 sales. Aloy leaves the watch tier for #5 with no published call, as he had when he left in August.
Top: Fischer +4.2% ($148.75 → $155.00 on 25 sales Sep 6–Oct 6); his last sale is $203.50 on Oct 1, 31% above the mark, and it is one print.
Bottom: Gonzales −11.9% ($79.44 → $70.00 on 25 sales, last sale $70.00 on Sep 30), the board’s largest move in either direction.
The rest: Holliday $107.75 → $105.00 on 11 sales (14 on Sep 29; older sales are leaving the window); Florentino $69.50 → $69.00 on 19 sales.
Watch the #3/#4 line: Gonzales leads Florentino by $1.00, and a one-dollar move swaps them.
Two last prints sit far under their marks and we are saying so: Holliday’s last sale is $48.17 on Oct 1 and Florentino’s is $31.38 on Oct 2, each more than half under its mark. A median of 11 and a median of 19 did not move on one print each.
Seats: 1 Fischer · 2 Holliday · 3 Gonzales · 4 Florentino · 5 Aloy. No verdict moved. Full ledger on
the Scorecard.
This Week On The Tape · Sep 29, 2026
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Sep 29 board: Fischer +2.8% to $148.75 on a $153.19 sale Sep 29, Holliday +2.6% to $107.75, Gonzales −1.3% to $79.44 and Florentino −0.7% to $69.50 with no sale since Sep 17; the board now ranks on the sold mark. (Sold mark = the median of each card’s dated SportsCardsPro sales over the last 30 days, read Sep 29. Moves are against the same measure on Sep 25, the first night it was published, so they cover four days.)
No seat moved: 1 Fischer · 2 Holliday · 3 Gonzales · 4 Florentino · 5 Kim (gated).
Top: Fischer +2.8% ($144.63 → $148.75, 30 sales Aug 30–Sep 29), and the newest print, $153.19 on Sep 29, sits above the mark.
Bottom: Gonzales −1.3% ($80.52 → $79.44), last sale $70.00 on Sep 26. The demotion question his box reopened on Sep 25 is answered on the ladder: $79.44 over Florentino’s $69.50, so he keeps #3.
Holliday +2.6% ($105.00 → $107.75); his last sale is $125.00 on Sep 19, a print the Sep 25 read did not have.
Florentino −0.7% ($70.00 → $69.50) on 24 sales, but his last sale is still $89.99 on Sep 17.
Kim has no sale since Aug 5 ($122.50), so he has no 30-day mark; his 90-day median is $130.00 on 5 sales, and the gate keeps him at #5.
Why the numbers look different from Sep 25: the figures this page printed through Sep 25 were SportsCardsPro’s raw guide values, and we called them the last printed sale. They were not. The method change below replaces them with a median of dated sales, and the seat order is the same on both measures.
Watch tier (sold marks, Sep 29): Arquette $64.36 (5 sales; last $40.00 Sep 28), Aloy $60.00 (last $45.00 Sep 25), Houston $29.49 (last $28.00 Sep 26), Pierce $18.38 (last $19.99 Sep 28); Jump has one sale since Aug 30 ($26.00, Aug 31) and his $55.00 is a 90-day median. None is within reach of the #4 seat. Every call is graded at 6 and 12 months on
the Scorecard.
Method Change · Sep 29, 2026
The board now ranks on the sold mark, the 30-day median of each card’s dated sales, instead of SportsCardsPro’s raw guide value.
Since Sep 17 this page has said it ranks on “the last printed sold price.” The number it actually printed and ranked on was SportsCardsPro’s raw guide value, which is built from recent sales but is not one sale, and it was sometimes a number no sale had printed at: Kim’s $131.25 was carried from August while his last dated sale on the tape is $122.50 on Aug 5. From Sep 29 every seat prints its sold mark (the median of its dated SportsCardsPro sales over the last 30 days, from our nightly sold catalog), its last sale with that sale’s date, and how many sales the mark rests on. A median of dated sales keeps the one thing we meant by “sold” and drops the noise of a single print. The 30-day liquidity gate is unchanged. No seat moved and no verdict moved: the order is the same on both measures. What moved is the printed figure: Fischer $156.13 on the guide is $148.75 on the sold mark, Holliday $107.16 is $107.75, Gonzales $79.99 is $79.44, Florentino $70.00 is $69.50. Those are changes of measure, not market moves, and no percentage on this page compares the two.
This Week On The Tape · Sep 25, 2026
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Sep 25 board: Gonzales −12.3% to $79.99 on a $67.00 print Sep 24, Fischer’s clock stops on a $144.26 print Sep 23 (+1.0% to $156.13), Holliday and Florentino unchanged with no printed sale since Sep 15 and Sep 17. (SportsCardsPro raw solds, read Sep 25; a release-window mid-week read, so the deltas are three days, not seven.)
No seat moved: 1 Fischer · 2 Holliday · 3 Gonzales · 4 Florentino · 5 Kim (gated).
Top: Fischer +1.0% ($154.60 → $156.13), and the number that matters is not the guide move but the print behind it — $144.26 on Sep 23, the first sale since Sep 14. The Sep 22 column said two reads without a print would hand the seat to Holliday on Sep 29; that condition is off. The print itself came in under the guide, and one sale is one sale.
Bottom: Gonzales −12.3% ($91.25 → $79.99). On Sep 22 we said his last three prints were all under the number the guide was carrying and that the guide would follow them; it did, in three days, on a $67.00 print Sep 24 and six sales Sep 18–24. His under-$71 line has now printed twice. He keeps #3 on the ladder ($79.99 over Florentino’s $70.00) and the demotion question his own box said this would reopen is reopened; the Sep 29 read carries it.
Holliday unchanged at $107.16 with no print since Sep 15 — 17 sales logged Aug 26–Sep 25, still the most active card here, but the last-print date is the number the gate reads.
Florentino unchanged at $70.00, and this is the first read since Sep 1 that found no new print (last: $89.99, Sep 17).
Kim unchanged, carried, no print since Aug 5.
One change in what this page prints beside each seat: starting with this read, the nightly eBay ask mark no longer appears next to the sold figure. An ask is a listing price, not a sale, and the two were sitting on the same line looking like the same kind of number. What stays is the count of verified live asks, which is a fact about supply and nothing else — Fischer 7, Kim 5, Gonzales 16, Holliday 25, Florentino 28 on Sep 25.
Watch tier (SportsCardsPro raw, Sep 25): Arquette $60.50, Aloy $60.00, Jump $39.75, Houston $29.99, Pierce $17.54 — none within reach of the #4 seat; Houston (last print $20.55 Sep 23) and Pierce ($18.50 Sep 24) are the only two printing this week. The per-set
BCB26 index is held at 69.52, its Sep 22 level, while it moves to a sold-price basis. Every call graded at 6 and 12 months on
the Scorecard.
Correction of the Sep 22 correction · Sep 25, 2026
Holliday’s $720 PSA 10 is a dated sale after all. The Sep 22 correction below was wrong on that one point, and it is left in place so the record shows both reads.
Read again on Sep 25, SportsCardsPro’s PSA 10 Sold Listings tab for the 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-EH carries exactly one row: Aug 6, 2026, $720.00, an eBay sale whose own title names the grade (“PSA 10 — LOW POP”). The PSA 9 tab carries a separate $155.00 sale on the same day. The Sep 22 read took the PSA 9 row for the whole graded tape of that date and concluded the $720 had borrowed its date; it had not. Under the rule this page has used since Sep 17 — one dated sales row whose title names the grade, or no verified sale — the $720 qualifies, and it is restored beside his entry as what it is: one sale, seven weeks old, not a ladder cell and not a level. No seat moved and no verdict moved; graded figures have not been a ranking input since Sep 17. What we are keeping from this: a correction gets read against the sales tabs one grade at a time, the same way the figure it corrects would be.
Correction · Sep 22, 2026
Holliday’s $720 PSA 10 was never a PSA 10 sale — and the Sep 17 graded review got the direction wrong on three of the five names.
On Sep 17 this page removed the graded ladder from the ranking rule because four of the five PSA 10 figures had no verified sale behind them. One figure survived that cut: Holliday’s $720.00, which we said was backed by a single dated sale on Aug 6, 2026. It is not. Reading the graded sales tape card by card this week, the Aug 6 sale on that card is a PSA 9 at $155.00. There is no PSA 10 sale of Holliday’s 1st Bowman Chrome Auto on the tape at any date — his five graded sales are all PSA 9, between $130.00 and $199.95. The $720 was a price-guide estimate. We read it as a sale, published it as one for six weeks, and then kept it as the one graded number trustworthy enough to survive a review whose whole purpose was to catch exactly this. It is struck; his entry now reads no verified sale.
The same read corrected two figures in the other direction. Fischer’s PSA 10 does have a tape — $650.00 on Sep 7, $425.00 on Aug 12, $417.00 on Jun 10 — and Florentino’s $492.00 is a dated sale, Aug 17, 2026. Both were struck on Sep 17 as unverified and both are restored, with their dates on them. Gonzales and Kim stay off: Gonzales’s only graded sale is a PSA 8 at $113.50, and Kim’s card has no graded sale of any grade.
No seat moved and no verdict moved. Graded figures have not been a ranking input since Sep 17, so none of this touches the order; it touches what we print beside it. One smaller thing corrected in the same sweep: the Sep 17 and Sep 18 columns below both say “Holliday is still the Sell.” His published verdict on this page has been Hold since June and did not change on either date — the word “Sell” there is the engine’s nightly ask-side signal, which is not our verdict and never has been. The columns stay as written; this is the correction. The lesson we are keeping is the narrow one: a price-guide cell and a sale are different objects, and the only graded number this page will print from here is one with a date and a grade we have read off the sales tape itself.
Correction · Sep 18, 2026
The gate we published on Sep 17 was not applied to every seat. The 30-day liquidity gate says a card that has not printed a sale in 30 days cannot outrank one that has. On Sep 17 we tested it against Holliday only. Tested against every seat, it also binds Kim against Gonzales and Florentino: Gonzales printed $92.00 on the Sep 11 read — his third straight weekly read with a new print — Florentino’s last print of $70.00 was read Sep 11, and Kim has not printed since Aug 5. So Kim cannot hold #3, and the seats now read 1 Fischer · 2 Holliday · 3 Gonzales · 4 Florentino · 5 Kim (gated). No price moved and no verdict moved: Holliday is still the Sell, Fischer the Hold, Kim and Gonzales the Pass, Florentino the Buy. This is the Sep 17 method change finishing the job it started, and every seat below now carries the date of its last printed sale so you can check the gate yourself.
Method Change · Sep 17, 2026
We removed the graded ladder from the ranking rule, and two seats moved because of it.
Until today this board ranked on two price ladders together — the raw 1st Bowman Chrome Auto and the PSA 10. Our own integrity review found that
four of the five PSA 10 figures we were ranking on had no verified sale behind them: $538 for Fischer, $626 for Kim, $425 for Gonzales and $492 for Florentino appear nowhere on this site as a dated sale, and none of those four card pages publishes a graded figure at all. Only Holliday’s $720 has a sale behind it, and that is
one sale, dated Aug 6.
(Corrected Sep 22, 2026: it does not. That Aug 6 sale is a PSA 9 at $155.00, not a PSA 10 at $720. This review got the direction wrong on three of the five names — see the Sep 22 correction at the top of this column.)
Worse than the numbers was the language over them. This page wrote “the graded tape did not flinch,” “pinned at $720 a sixth week,” “graded flat” and “a $492.00 graded print” — all of which describe a repeatedly observed series. There was no series. A carried ladder value was being narrated as a weekly tape, and a published rank was resting on it.
What changed. Ranks are now set on one ladder, the last printed sold price, with a 30-day liquidity gate: a card that has not printed a sale in 30 days cannot outrank a card that has. On the Sep 15 marks that makes
Fischer #1 ($148.32, two sales in seven days) and
Holliday #2 ($104.00, 27 sales in thirty). Kim stays #3 — his $131.25 is higher than Holliday’s print but it is 43 days old, which is precisely what the gate is for, and this page said on Sep 15 that it would have to draw that line by mid-October. It is drawn.
(Corrected Sep 18: “Kim stays #3” tested the gate against Holliday only. Tested against every seat — Gonzales printed $92.00 on Sep 11, Florentino $70.00, while Kim’s last print is Aug 5 — the gate puts Kim at #5. The Sep 18 correction above carries the applied seats.)
What did not change. No verdict moved: Holliday is still the Sell, Fischer the Hold, Kim and Gonzales the Pass, Florentino the Buy. No price moved. Every call still runs its own 6- and 12-month clock on
the Scorecard, and the seats above are ordering, not opinion.
We would rather publish this than quietly re-rank. The correction is dated, and the Sep 15 column below carries its own.
This Week On The Tape · Sep 22, 2026
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Sep 22 board: Fischer +4.2% to $154.60 but his last printed sale is still Sep 14, Gonzales’s ask mark −15.4% on the board’s bottom read, Florentino flat at $70.00 with 5 sales in 7 days, and Holliday’s $720 PSA 10 struck as never having been a sale. (SportsCardsPro raw solds; the correction has its own column above.)
No seat moved: 1 Fischer · 2 Holliday · 3 Gonzales · 4 Florentino · 5 Kim (gated).
Top: Fischer +4.2% ($148.32 → $154.60), and the asterisk on it is large — his last printed sale is Sep 14 and this read found nothing newer, on a card the guide describes as trading about once a day. His own break-condition says two runs without a print hands the top seat to Holliday; that clock started this week and resolves on the Sep 29 read.
Bottom: Gonzales −0.8% ($92.00 → $91.25), a nothing move on the guide that is hiding a real one underneath: his last three printed sales were $79.99 (Sep 21), $72.00 (Sep 17) and $42.01 (Sep 14), all below the number the guide is carrying, while his nightly ask mark fell −15.4% ($150 → $126.97) and verified asks went 4 → 15. More sellers at lower prices is the least ambiguous combination on this page.
Holliday +3.0% ($104.00 → $107.16) with his ask mark down −9.1% to $149.99 — asks falling toward a rising sold print, which is the healthy way for a spread to close.
Florentino flat at $70.00 since Sep 1, and it is the best kind of flat: five printed sales in the last seven days, the most of any card here.
Kim unchanged at a carried $131.25 with no printed sale since Aug 5 — the gate that holds him at #5 is doing exactly what it was written for.
The spread story flipped this week. Since Sep 15 we have been flagging ask marks sitting 37–63% above last sold prints on four-listing tapes. Three of the four narrowed: Fischer 37% → 30% as listings went 4 → 9, Gonzales 63% → 39% as they went 4 → 15, Holliday 59% → 40% on 26. Sellers arriving and asks coming down to meet the sold print is the resolution we said was more likely than the other one. Kim is the exception and he is the exception because nothing has traded: $200.74 asked on 4 listings, 53% over a quote that is a carried number.
The watch tier is all one colour. All five names below the board read SELL on the nightly engine and four are down double digits over 30 days — Houston −27.8%, Jump −17.8%, Aloy −17.7%, Pierce −9.1%, Arquette −6.7%. None is untrackable; every one carries enough verified asks for the engine to mark it. The per-set
BCB26 index re-marked
69.52, −4.9% on the week and −30.5% since its Sep 14 inception, on an ask basis, labeled. That is the September Chrome chase basket, a different product from this board’s May cards, and it is having a much worse month than the board is. Every call graded at 6 and 12 months on
the Scorecard.
This Week On The Tape · Sep 15, 2026
Corrected Sep 17, 2026: this column originally described the PSA 10 figures as a weekly series and cited the graded ladder as the reason for the #4/#5 seat. Those figures have no verified sale behind them; the claims are struck below and the ranking rule has changed. The raw sold prices and everything resting on them are unchanged.
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Sep 15 board: Gonzales takes #4 from Florentino on the clock this page published Sep 11, Holliday −1.9% to $104 is the biggest move on the board in either direction, and Kim has now gone 41 days without a printed sale. (SportsCardsPro raw solds.) This was a flat week on the tape and the flatness is the story: three of the five names printed the same number they printed Sep 11, to the cent.
Top: nothing on the board rose more than
Fischer +1.0% ($146.80 → $148.32), and the +8.3% jump in his
ask mark ($187 → $202.50, on 4 listings) is the number people will quote and it is not a sold price.
Bottom: Holliday −1.9% ($106 → $104.00), which is the smallest weekly bottom this board has printed since June, and 27 sales logged in 30 days.
The seat change: Sep 11 this page said that if Gonzales held his raw edge on the next run he takes #4. He printed $92.00 against Florentino’s $70.00 again, so
Gonzales is #4 and Florentino is #5 — the second reorder in two runs to resolve on a condition we published in advance rather than on a judgment call.
(Struck Sep 17: this sentence originally read “Florentino still leads the graded ladder $492 to $425, which is why it is a seat change and not a verdict change.” Neither graded figure has a verified sale behind it and the graded ladder is no longer a ranking input. It was a seat change and not a verdict change because the verdicts did not move — that part stands on its own.) The Bowman Chrome question is settled, and the answer is that it does not apply. The published 2026 Bowman Chrome checklist runs 204 cards — 100 Chrome Prospects and 104 Chrome Prospect Autographs — and
not one of the five names on this board has an autograph in it. Holliday and Arquette appear only as base prospects, and those are not 1st Bowman cards either, because their firsts were in May’s 2026 Bowman (BCP-1 / BCP-40). We have been carrying a break-condition on this since Sep 8 that said a September Chrome auto printing below the May CPA would make these ranks wrong. (Wording corrected Oct 1: the May autos are Chrome Prospect Autographs, not paper.) There is no Chrome auto. The May CPA card is the benchmark for this class permanently, and the ranks on this page do not rest on a transition that was never coming.
What is worth watching instead: the gap between what people ask and what people pay. Fischer $202.50 asked against $148.32 sold, Kim $200.74 asked against a $131.25 quote that is 41 days old, Gonzales $150 against $92.00. Three of the top four now carry ask marks 37% to 63% above their last sold print, on four verified listings each. That is a thin tape quoting itself, and we are naming it as a fact rather than building a thesis on it. The per-set
BCB26 index activated Sep 14 at 100.00 and printed its first move Sep 15:
95.67, −4.3% on an ask basis, labeled — the Chrome chase basket giving back more in one day than this whole board gave back in a week. Every call graded at 6 and 12 months on
the Scorecard.
01
Draft Position
#20 Overall
Duke FR HR Record
All-Time
The June value call already cashed — and the dip case just rebuilt itself. Fischer is a pure power threat at third base — he set Duke's freshman home run record and the power transferred immediately to pro ball. Scout projections of a 25-homer ceiling are conservative if his bat speed continues to optimize. The Italy WBC connection adds an international storyline that opens him to a wider collector audience.
With the Purple /250 auto parallel in the mix, Fischer's low-numbered autos re-rated with the base auto (his Packfractor /89 now outsells Holliday's). The June discount is long gone — and after three straight down weeks the tape snapped back +40% to $137 on Sep 8 and added another 7% to $146.80 on Sep 11. It then stalled: $148.32 on Sep 15, up 1%, then $154.60 on Sep 22, up 4.2% — but on a tape that has printed nothing new since Sep 14. The verdict below has the details.
"Fischer's calling card is going to be his power as he consistently gets to hard-hit contact with good bat speed, strength, and lift in his swing. His ability to launch the ball carried over into pro ball quickly, and he could be a 25-homer threat with that optimization."
— MLB.com
Verdict: Hold — the number is up and the tape has gone quiet, and the second half matters more. Reasons as of the Sep 22 read; the seat and marks above are Oct 20. Re-read Oct 27. Raw read $154.60 against $148.32, +4.2%, the best move on the board this week. But the read is doing more work than the tape is:
his last printed sale is Sep 14, and the Sep 22 read found nothing newer. On a card the guide describes as trading about once a day, a week without a print is the thing to watch, not the +4.2%. The seat is a ranking, and
the Hold stands. The re-entry logged Sep 11 at $146.80 is up about 1% and that is all so far. The ask side did the opposite of last week: the nightly mark eased $202.50 → $201.49 while verified listings went 4 → 9, so the thin-tape caveat we put on the +8.3% ask jump on Sep 15 has partly answered itself — more sellers, no higher price. Asks are still 30% above the last sold print. The June call at $30 is up +415% and gets its first real grade in December on
the Scorecard; the Sep 11 re-entry at $146.80 is up 5.3% and runs its own 6- and 12-month clock. Buying the ask here means paying about $201 for a card whose last printed sale was $183.50 on Sep 14.
Sep 25 read: the clock stopped. SportsCardsPro logged a printed sale of
$144.26 on Sep 23, the first since Sep 14, and the guide read $156.13 (+1.0%). The Sep 29 hand-over condition is off and the Hold stands. Note what the print says: $144.26 is $10 under the number the guide was carrying and $39 under the Sep 14 $183.50 — one sale, not a series, and the next one decides which of those two it belongs with.
Sep 29 read: on the sold mark, the measure this board ranks on from today, Fischer is $148.75 on 30 sales Aug 30–Sep 29, up 2.8% from $144.63 on the same measure Sep 25, and his newest sale is $153.19 on Sep 29. The $156.13 we printed Sep 25 was the SportsCardsPro guide value, so $156.13 to $148.75 is a change of measure, not a fall. The Hold stands, and the Sep 11 re-entry at $146.80 reads +1.3% on the sold mark.
Oct 6 read: sold mark $155.00 on 25 sales Sep 6–Oct 6, +4.2% on the Sep 29 mark of $148.75, the top move on the board. His last sale is $203.50 on Oct 1, 31% above the mark: one print, and the median, not the print, is what ranks. The Hold stands. The Sep 11 re-entry at $146.80 is up 5.6% at the mark, and it runs its own 6- and 12-month clock.
Oct 20 read: sold mark $152.85 on 18 sales Sep 20–Oct 20, −0.4% on the Oct 13 mark of $153.50. His last sale is $108.50 on Oct 19. The median, not any one print, is what ranks. The Hold stands on the mark. The Sep 11 re-entry at $146.80 reads +4.1%.
WHAT WOULD CHANGE OUR MIND: the level is unchanged and it is on the downside: a sold mark back under $115 would say the Sep 4–11 run was a squeeze on four listings rather than a real re-rate, and the re-entry call would be carrying a loss we would name in percent rather than explain away. The gap between the two tapes is still the thing to watch — $201.49 asked against $154.60 sold. It narrowed this week, and it narrowed the right way, with sellers arriving rather than the price running. He now holds the #1 seat, and the way he loses it is the same tape that gave it to him: a print back under Holliday’s number hands it over, and going two runs without a printed sale hands it over as well, because the 30-day gate cuts both ways. That second clock is now running. His last printed sale is Sep 14; the Sep 22 read found no new one. If the Sep 29 read finds none either, that is two runs without a print and the seat goes to Holliday on the rule, not on a judgment call. The seat does not say this is the best card on the board. Holliday trades about 22 times a month; Fischer has not printed since Sep 14. On the day those two prints cross, the seat crosses back. Sep 25: the two-run clock is off — a $144.26 print on Sep 23. The downside level is unchanged at $115. One risk is now off the table: there is no Andrew Fischer autograph on the published 2026 Bowman Chrome checklist, so his May 2026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto (#CPA-AF) is his 1st Bowman auto permanently. New as of Sep 22: his graded copy now has a tape we can point at — $650.00 on Sep 7, $425.00 on Aug 12, $417.00 on Jun 10, all PSA 10. Three sales is a tape, not a series, and it does not move a seat, because seats move on the raw printed sale and nothing else. We re-read this every week. Sep 29: the downside level is unchanged at $115, now read against the sold mark. The seat goes to Holliday if Fischer’s sold mark falls under Holliday’s ($107.75 on Sep 29), or if Fischer stops selling for 30 days while Holliday keeps trading. Oct 6: the downside level is unchanged at $115. The seat is held on a mark of 25 sales; it hands over to Holliday if his sold mark ($105.00) closes the gap, or if a 30-day window passes without a sale on this card. Oct 20: Reworded Oct 20, 2026: the $115 level is a mark level. It used to read as a print level, and one print under it was enough to put the Hold in question. The Hold breaks if the sold mark falls under $115, not on a single sale. For the record, a second print has landed under $115: $108.50 on Oct 19, after $105.00 on Oct 8. The mark is $152.85 on 18 sales, 33% above the level, and the Hold stands. The seat hands over to Holliday if his mark ($108.75) closes the $44.10 gap, or if a 30-day window passes without a sale on this card.
02
MLB.com Ranking
#25 · Aug 15 2026
BA 2025 HS Player
★ Winner
The headliner of the 2026 Bowman class and the most-chased 1st Bowman Chrome Auto in years. Son of former MLBer Matt Holliday, Ethan is a 6-foot-4 left-handed shortstop who projects as a middle-of-the-order bat with plus raw power and bat speed. Baseball America named him the 2025 High School Player of the Year. The combination of elite draft pedigree, a famous last name, and genuine all-tools potential makes him the #1 target in this set.
MLB.com scouts describe power that is both raw and usable without over-effort — rare for a prep hitter. If Holliday develops into a middle-of-the-order threat at shortstop, his 1st Bowman Chrome Auto is the card that re-rates. Most top-100 prospects never become regulars, so size it as a long-dated option.
"Holliday might have as much raw and usable power as anyone from the class of '25. When at his best, the 6-foot-4 left-handed hitter can get to it without a ton of effort. He already has strength, bat speed and leverage in his swing while continuing to add physicality to his frame."
— MLB.com
Verdict: Hold — the drift is small, the liquidity is the story. Reasons as of the Sep 22 read; the seat and marks above are Oct 20. Re-read Oct 27. Raw firmed $104.00 → $107.16 (+3.0%) on the Sep 22 read, the board’s second-best move, while the nightly ask mark went the other way — $165 → $149.99, −9.1%, on 26 verified listings. Asks falling toward a rising sold print is the spread closing, which is the healthier of the two ways a spread can close. Corrected Sep 22, 2026: this sentence used to say the graded copy had exactly one dated sale behind it, $720.00 on Aug 6, 2026. It does not. Re-reading the graded tape card by card, the Aug 6 sale is a PSA 9 at $155.00; there is no PSA 10 sale of this card on the tape at any date. The $720 was a guide estimate we read as a sale and published as one for six weeks, including on the day we removed the graded ladder and kept this figure as the one that survived. It is struck, the entry now says no verified sale, and the graded tape we can actually point at on this card is five PSA 9 sales between $130.00 and $199.95. The engine still reads SELL on the ask side — that is the nightly ask-mark signal, not our verdict, and it means sellers are still asking more than buyers are paying. The number we point at is volume: SportsCardsPro logged 22 sales of this card in the last 30 days, more than any other name here, though his own last printed sale is Sep 15 and the Sep 22 read found none newer. Why #2 as of Sep 17, having been #1 since June: he held the top seat on the graded ladder, and the graded ladder is gone — four of the five figures in it had no verified sale behind them (see the method note above). On the rule that remains, Fischer’s $154.60 printed sale outranks his $107.16 and that is the whole of it — though Fischer has not printed since Sep 14, and if the Sep 29 read still finds nothing the gate hands this seat back. What did not change is the case for this card: a card that trades 22 times a month and a card whose last printed sale is Aug 5 are not the same asset at the same price, and that is why Kim’s higher carried quote sits below him rather than above. The correction above costs this entry its graded number, not its argument — the argument was always liquidity, and the liquidity is still here. Sep 25 read: $107.16, unchanged to the cent, and still no printed sale since Sep 15 — SportsCardsPro shows 17 sales logged Aug 26–Sep 25, down from the 22 counted on Sep 22 as August prints roll out of the window. The volume case holds; the date of the last print is now the number to watch on this card, because it is the number the gate reads. Always check current eBay sold comps before purchasing. Sep 29 read: sold mark $107.75 on 14 sales Aug 30–Sep 29, +2.6% from $105.00 on Sep 25. The last sale is $125.00 on Sep 19, which the Sep 25 read did not have, so the “no print since Sep 15” line above is superseded. Fourteen sales is fewer than the 17 counted on Sep 25 because August sales are rolling out of the window; the Hold stands on liquidity, and the gate date to watch is Oct 19, 30 days after his last sale. Oct 6 read: sold mark $105.00 on 11 sales Sep 6–Oct 6, −2.6% on the Sep 29 mark of $107.75. The count is down from 14 as older sales leave the 30-day window, which makes each new print weigh more. His last sale is $48.17 on Oct 1, 54% under the mark. It is one print and a median of 11 did not move on it; if more prints follow it, the mark will. The Hold stands. Oct 20 read: sold mark $108.75 on 8 sales Sep 20–Oct 20, −1.6% on the Oct 13 mark of $110.50. His last sale is $107.50 on Oct 14. Eight sales is the thinnest count on the board, so the next prints will move the mark. The Hold stands.
WHAT WOULD CHANGE OUR MIND: the Bowman Chrome question we have carried since Sep 8 is answered, and the answer is that it does not apply. The published 2026 Bowman Chrome checklist runs 204 cards — 100 Chrome Prospects and 104 Chrome Prospect Autographs — and neither of his cards in it is a 1st. Corrected Oct 20, 2026: this box used to say there was no Holliday autograph in the set and that base BCP-209 was his only card in it. His only 2026 Bowman Chrome (Sep) cards are the returning base BCP-209 and a Mega Box auto, CPA-EHO; neither is a 1st. His 1st Bowman Chrome is 2026 Bowman (May) BCP-1 and his 1st auto is 2026 Bowman (May) CPA-EH. So the May CPA card is his 1st Bowman auto permanently, there is no benchmark transition coming, and this rank does not rest on one. What is left is price and liquidity: the May CPA-EH losing its $95 floor would break this, and so would the volume drying up — if the 22-sales-a-month card starts printing like Kim’s, the liquidity argument that holds him at #2 over a higher carried quote goes with it. The graded condition we used to state here has been withdrawn with the $720; we will write a new one when this card prints a PSA 10 sale we can date. Sep 29: the $95 floor now reads against the sold mark ($107.75). A sold mark under $95, or no sale by Oct 19, would break this. Oct 20: the $95 floor reads against the sold mark ($108.75) and holds. His last sale is Oct 14, so the no-sale date that would break this moves to Nov 13.
03
2026 Level
High-A → Double-A
The watch-tier name the market promoted, not us. Gonzales sat in the tier below this board from the day the page was built. Then he out-printed the #5 seat two weeks running ($71.02 on Sep 1, then $90.00 on Sep 8, on the raw tape) — and the two-week crossover rule is the rule precisely so that a seat changes hands on the tape, not on a story.
The story is good anyway. A $250,000 international signing out of Baní in the Dominican Republic, Gonzales is a 6-foot-6, 270-pound corner bat with bat-to-ball skills that don't usually come in that frame, and 2026 has been the breakout: a .271/.391/.463 line with 17 home runs in 89 games at High-A Greenville earned a promotion to Double-A Portland, and both Baseball America and MLB Pipeline added him to their top-100 lists in the spring. He was the top Red Sox chase in 2026 Bowman from release week, when base autos were already trading $110–$150 before settling into the $70s over the summer.
"Despite his size, Gonzalez displays great bat-to-ball skills and has started to tap into his raw power. After playing mostly first base to start his career, Gonzalez has spent most of his time in right field, where he can show off his tremendous arm."
— Collectibles On SI, May 2026
Verdict: Pass — the seat is holding and the tape underneath it is not. Reasons as of the Sep 22 read; the seat and marks above are Oct 20. Re-read Oct 27. The guide number read $91.25 against $92.00, −0.8%, the board’s bottom move and small enough to be nothing on its own. What is not nothing is what he actually printed: $79.99 on Sep 21, $72.00 on Sep 17 and $42.01 on Sep 14 — three straight sales below the $91.25 the guide is carrying. He keeps #3 because he printed most recently of anyone here and the gate ranks on the guide’s last printed price, but we are not going to quote $91.25 without saying that his own last three sales came in under it. The ask side moved with it and moved hard: the nightly mark fell $150 → $126.97, −15.4%, the biggest move on this board in either direction this week, while verified asks went 4 → 15. More sellers at lower prices is the one supply-and-price combination that is not ambiguous. The one thing that
has changed is the Chrome question, and it resolved in his favor: the published 2026 Bowman Chrome checklist carries 104 prospect autographs and he is not one of them, so his May Chrome Prospect Auto (#CPA-JG) is his 1st Bowman auto permanently and this rank is not sitting on a transition that could rewrite it. If you own him, hold. The PASS is logged at $90 on
the Scorecard and gets graded at 6 and 12 months like everything else.
Sep 25 read: the guide followed the prints down —
$91.25 → $79.99, −12.3%, the biggest move on the board in either direction, on a
$67.00 print Sep 24 and six sales Sep 18–24. The under-$71 line in the box below has now printed twice (Sep 14 $42.01, Sep 24 $67.00), so the demotion question it said that would reopen is reopened; it goes to the Sep 29 read. He keeps #3 because $79.99 still sits above Florentino’s $70.00 on the ladder, and seats move on the ladder, not on the direction. The Pass at $90 is down 11%. If you own him, nothing about the profile changed; if you do not, this is what “not at this price” looked like.
Sep 29 read: sold mark $79.44 on 30 sales, −1.3% from $80.52 on Sep 25, last sale $70.00 on Sep 26. The demotion question carried to this read is answered on the ladder: $79.44 over Florentino’s $69.50, so he keeps #3. The Pass logged at $90 reads −11.7% on the sold mark.
Oct 6 read: sold mark $70.00 on 25 sales Sep 6–Oct 6, −11.9% on the Sep 29 mark of $79.44, the largest move on the board in either direction. The last sale is $70.00 on Sep 30. The Pass was logged at $90.00 on Sep 8; at the mark the card is 22.2% under that price. He still holds #3, by $1.00 over Florentino ($69.00).
Oct 20 read: sold mark $70.00 on 13 sales Sep 20–Oct 20, +2.2% on the Oct 13 mark of $68.50, the board’s top move. His last sale is $65.00 on Oct 16. He leads Florentino by $13.47. The Pass stands. The Sep 8 Pass logged at $90.00 reads −22.2% on the mark; it runs to its own finalization date, Nov 3.
WHAT WOULD CHANGE OUR MIND: the Bowman Chrome wild card we flagged Sep 8 and Sep 11 is now closed, and it closed clean: there is no Justin Gonzales autograph on the published 2026 Bowman Chrome checklist, so there is no benchmark transition coming and no re-read against a Chrome card. That removes a reason this rank could have been wrong, so the remaining levels are all price. A raw print under $71 says the Sep 8 promotion was early and reopens the demotion question — and the Sep 14 print at $42.01 has already been under it once, which is why this line is the one we are watching hardest. The spread we flagged on Sep 15 has closed a third of the way, from $150-against-$92.00 to $126.97-against-$91.25, and it closed downward, which is the direction we said spreads this wide usually close. Two more reads with prints in the $70s and the guide number follows them down, at which point the demotion question answers itself. Sep 25: it followed — $79.99 on the guide, $67.00 on the Sep 24 print. Reopened; the Sep 29 read carries it. Upside, a print above $110 on real volume turns this Pass into a Buy, and we would say so in the same place we said Pass. Sep 29: resolved for this week — he keeps #3 on the sold mark ($79.44 vs $69.50). The seat crosses if his sold mark falls under Florentino’s. The upside condition now reads against the sold mark: above $110 on real volume turns the Pass into a Buy. Oct 20: the seat crosses if his sold mark falls under Florentino’s ($56.53); the lead is $13.47. The upside condition is unchanged: above $110 on real volume turns the Pass into a Buy, and the mark is $70.00.
04
The watch-tier name that forced its way up. Florentino clocked 35 stolen bases in 83 games last year and worked himself into staying in the outfield when scouts had him penciled in at first base. The Pirates are excited about the total package.
The tape is quieter than the profile right now: the guide has read $70.00 since Sep 1, below the $79 we logged the call at, and it is the flatness rather than any fade that cost him the #4 seat on Sep 15. The sales underneath it are not quiet, though — five printed in the last 7 days, more than any other name on this board.
Verdict: Watch — the Aug 18 Buy is graded wrong, final, at −17.4%; the call is closed and not renewed. Reasons as of the Sep 22 read; the seat and marks above are Oct 20. Re-read Oct 27. The guide read $70.00 again, unchanged since Sep 1, while the nightly ask mark also sat still at $115.00. What moved is the thing worth moving:
five printed sales in the last 7 days — $89.99 and $69.00 on Sep 17, $70.00 and $62.00 on Sep 16, $80.00 on Sep 15 — the most of any card on this board, on 30 verified asks. A number that does not move while the card keeps changing hands is a level. A number that does not move because nothing trades is Kim’s problem two seats down, and it is not this card’s. The reason the Sep 15 seat change was not a verdict change is simply that the verdict did not move; we originally wrote that his graded ladder lead, $492 to $425, was the reason, and on Sep 17 that sentence was withdrawn on the ground that neither figure had a verified sale behind it.
Half of that withdrawal was wrong, and we are correcting it Sep 22: his $492.00 PSA 10
is a dated sale, Aug 17, 2026 — the entry carries it again. Gonzales’s $425 still is not, so the comparison stays withdrawn even though this half of it stands. The call is down 11% from where we logged it at $79 — that is the honest number and it is on
the Scorecard, where it gets graded at 6 and 12 months. Speed-first profiles are volatile, so do not make him your largest position.
Sep 25 read: $70.00 again, and for the first time since Sep 1 a read found no new print — the last is $89.99 on Sep 17. Twenty-eight sales logged Aug 26–Sep 25 say the level is real; a second read without a print would say the buyers paused, and the gate reads that date, not this opinion.
Sep 29 read: sold mark $69.50 on 24 sales, −0.7% from $70.00 on Sep 25, and the second read in a row with no new sale: the last is $89.99 on Sep 17. Our Aug 18 Buy at $79.32 reads −12.4% on the sold mark, and the “volume says floor” half of the headline above is not showing this week. The call stays on the Scorecard at that number. If no sale prints by Oct 17, the 30-day gate moves him below every card that is trading, whatever his mark says.
Oct 6 read: sold mark $69.00 on 19 sales Sep 6–Oct 6, −0.7% on the Sep 29 mark of $69.50. Against the Aug 18 entry at $79.32 the card is down 13.0% at the mark, and we name that in percent. His last sale is $31.38 on Oct 2, 55% under the mark: one print, and a median of 19 barely moved on it. The Buy stands as a long hold; it is trending, not final.
Oct 20 read: sold mark $56.53 on 12 sales Sep 20–Oct 20, −13.7% on the Oct 13 mark of $65.50, the board’s largest fall. His last sale is $56.06 on Oct 19. The Buy we logged Aug 18 at $79.32 was graded
wrong, final on Oct 13 at −17.4%, and the grade is not edited again. We are not renewing it; the seat is a ranking by the sold mark, nothing more.
WHAT WOULD CHANGE OUR MIND: the crossover clock resolved against him on Sep 15 and dropped him to #5 on that board. Sales under $65, his late-July level, would mean the buyers who carried him onto this board have stepped back, and we would rather wait for them to return than argue with the tape. He keeps #4 because $70.00 is a real, recent, repeated print — and after five sales in the last 7 days it is no longer thin. If that stops printing while the names above keep trading, the 30-day gate will move him before any opinion does; on this week’s read he is the furthest from that risk of anyone here. One thing that is now settled and no longer a risk: the published 2026 Bowman Chrome checklist has no Florentino autograph, so his May Chrome Prospect Auto (#CPA-EF) is his 1st Bowman auto permanently and there is no transition coming to re-price him. For someone who owns him, note what has and has not changed — the profile is intact, the graded copy has one dated sale behind it at $492.00 on Aug 17, and the rank is what moved. Sep 29: the gate date is Oct 17, 30 days after his last sale on Sep 17. The $65 line now reads against the sold mark ($69.50). Oct 20: the mark is $56.53 on 12 sales, under the $65.00 line. By the line we wrote, the buyers who carried him onto this board have stepped back, and we are saying so here. The call is already closed, so there is no call left for it to break. The seat is $1.53 above Aloy ($55.00); a mark under Aloy’s on the next read moves him to #5. His last sale is Oct 19, so the no-sale date on the 30-day gate is Nov 18.
05
2025 SEC
Player of the Year
He takes the seat on the ladder, not on a thesis. Aloy is a shortstop with real power: 35 homers in two SEC seasons plus 8 more in 21 Cape Cod games, and a 2026 line of .288/.358/.506 with 25 homers and 20 steals in 533 plate appearances across High-A and Double-A. He came off this board on Aug 18 on ladder position, not on his own tape, and his card has kept selling since: 19 dated sales in the 30 days to Oct 6 at a median of $57.00.
The seat opened because Seong-Jun Kim, parked at #5 since Sep 18, has not sold since Aug 5 and has no 30-day mark. Of the cards not already seated, Aloy has the highest sold mark: Gage Jump’s $50.00 is a 90-day median with one sale in the last 30 days, and Arquette’s is $41.00 on 5 sales.
Verdict: Watch — a seat is an ordering by the sold mark, and it is not a recommendation. Watch is the non-call: we have never published a Buy, Hold or Pass on this card, and returning to the board does not add one. What the page can say is what the tape says: $57.00 on 19 sales. His last sale is $29.78 on Sep 30, 48% under the mark; it is one print, and the median carries the rank. The path is the open question for the card, not the tape: the Orioles have Gunnar Henderson at shortstop and Jackson Holliday on the infield, and nothing in the Double-A line is a reason to ignore that. Oct 20 read: sold mark $55.00 on 13 sales Sep 20–Oct 20, unchanged on the Oct 13 mark; last sale $66.00 on Oct 19. He is still above every unseated card. The Watch stands.
WHAT WOULD CHANGE OUR MIND: a seat on this board follows the sold mark and nothing else. Aloy loses #5 to any card that holds a higher 30-day sold mark on at least three sales, and Gage Jump’s $50.00 is the closest, on a 90-day median that needs fresh sales to count. If his mark falls under $50.00 on real volume, the seat is no longer his by the numbers, and we say so in this box. A published call needs a reason to make one; none has appeared. Oct 20: Florentino’s mark ($56.53) is $1.53 above his, the closest the #4/#5 line has been. Behind him: Gage Jump at $43.50 (a 90-day median; one sale in the last 30 days, so he cannot rank), Aiva Arquette at $41.00 on 8 sales and Marek Houston at $27.50 on 12. Seong-Jun Kim has one sale in the last 30 days ($73.00, Oct 13) beside a 90-day median of $120.78 on 4 sales, so he cannot rank either.