Pitch Black has kept more of its value than Chaos Rising. Each index is 100 in its set's release month, and as of the Nov 9 mark Pitch Black held about 56% of that against about 33% for Chaos Rising.
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Every number here is one the site already publishes or can point at: two set indices, six sold comps, four sealed asks and six sealed sold prices. The index rows decide the headline. The chase rows show which set has the bigger cards. The ask rows are what sellers want; the sold rows are what boxes, ETBs and bundles went for.
| Read Oct 23, 2026 | Pitch BlackME05 · released Jul 17, 2026 | Chaos RisingME04 · released May 22, 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Set index levelOct 19, 2026 mark · sold basis · 100 = the set's release month | 61.56Pitch Black Chase Index · 100 = Jul 2026 (release) · 36 cards priced | 37.94Chaos Rising Chase Index · 100 = May 2026 (release) · 36 cards priced |
| Since releaserelease month to the Oct 19 mark | −38.4%100 (Jul 2026) → 61.56, thirteen weeks after the Jul 17 release | −62.1%100 (May 2026) → 37.94, about five months after the May 22 release |
| Latest weekOct 12 → Oct 19 mark | −0.1%61.60 → 61.56 | +0.6%37.71 → 37.94 |
| Since Aug 24the first weekly mark both indices share | −30.0%87.90 → 61.56 over nine weekly marks | −25.8%51.13 → 37.94 over nine weekly marks |
| #1 chase cardsold comp, ungraded | Mega Darkrai ex SIR #116/084$156.59median of 30 sales, Oct 17–23 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → | Mega Greninja ex MHR #122/086$128.00median of 30 sales, Oct 11–23 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → |
| #2 chase cardsold comp, ungraded | Mega Darkrai ex MHR #120/084$139.00median of 30 sales, Oct 11–23 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → | Mega Greninja ex SIR #116/086$125.00median of 30 sales, Oct 15–23 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → |
| #3 chase cardsold comp, ungraded | Morpeko ex SIR #117/084$60.50median of 30 sales, Oct 16–23 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → | Cinccino ex SIR #119/086$38.00median of 30 sales, Oct 11–23 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → |
| Top three, added upsum of the three medians above | $356.09sold comps, read Oct 23 | $291.00sold comps, read Oct 23 |
| Elite Trainer Boxlive eBay asks, sealed only · lower is the cheaper entry | $69.95lowest ask · 22 live · Oct 23, 2026 · an ask, not a saleShop ETBs on eBay → | $69.99lowest ask · 24 live · Oct 23, 2026 · an ask, not a saleShop ETBs on eBay → |
| Booster boxlive eBay asks, sealed only · lower is the cheaper entry | $175.00lowest ask · 45 live · Oct 23, 2026 · an ask, not a saleShop Booster boxes on eBay → | $184.95lowest ask · 5 live · Oct 23, 2026 · an ask, not a saleShop Booster boxes on eBay → |
| Booster box, soldcompleted eBay sales, sealed · lower is the cheaper entry | $170.50median of 29 eBay sales, Nov 6–Nov 8 · sold, sealed · PriceChartingShop on eBay → | $177.50median of 29 eBay sales, Nov 4–Nov 8 · sold, sealed · PriceChartingShop on eBay → |
| Elite Trainer Box, soldcompleted eBay sales, sealed · lower is the cheaper entry | $65.00median of 28 eBay sales, Nov 8–Nov 9 · sold, sealed · PriceChartingShop on eBay → | $71.00median of 25 eBay sales, Nov 8–Nov 9 · sold, sealed · PriceChartingShop on eBay → |
| Booster bundle, soldcompleted eBay sales, sealed · lower is the cheaper entry | $35.00median of 27 eBay sales, Nov 6–Nov 8 · sold, sealed · PriceChartingShop on eBay → | $34.03median of 26 eBay sales, Nov 5–Nov 8 · sold, sealed · PriceChartingShop on eBay → |
Green edge marks the side the row favors; on the sealed rows that is the cheaper entry, and a tie gets no edge. Singles are sold comps: PriceCharting completed sales, the median of the 30 most recent, window shown per cell. The sealed sold rows are the median of the most recent completed eBay sales for that sealed product (eBay only; a sale has to name its own set and no other; multi-box lots, combos and damaged wrap left out), read Nov 9, 2026 from PriceCharting's sales list, with the sale count and the dates of the first and last sale counted. The other sealed figures are live eBay asks on Oct 23, 2026, read through our comps endpoint with single packs, bundles, lots, multi-box listings, digital codes, used or opened boxes, display cases, eBay Live stream-drop listings and Pokémon Center exclusives filtered out; an ask is what a seller wants, not what a box sold for. Index levels are sold-basis and re-marked weekly on Mondays; each index is 100 in its set's release month, so a level shows how much of its release-month value the set still holds. ShopCardHub participates in the eBay Partner Network.
These are the 9 Monday marks both indices had when this table was read on Oct 23 (Aug 24 to Oct 19, 2026), straight from our index file. Three more marks have landed since (Oct 26, Nov 2, Nov 9); the headline uses Nov 9. Week against week Chaos Rising is ahead: Pitch Black did better in 3 of the 8 weeks and Chaos Rising in 5. Chaos Rising's three worst weeks came back to back, Sep 28 to Oct 12 (−8.5%, −6.8%, −7.2%), and it gained 0.6% on Oct 19. Pitch Black's worst were Oct 12 (−10.9%) and Aug 31 (−6.8%).
| Weekly mark | Pitch BlackPB26 · 100 = Jul 2026 | Chaos RisingCR26 · 100 = May 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026Monday mark | 87.90first live mark | 51.13first live mark |
| Aug 31, 2026Monday mark | 81.91−6.8% on the week | 48.75−4.7% on the week |
| Sep 7, 2026Monday mark | 82.20+0.4% on the week | 47.92−1.7% on the week |
| Sep 14, 2026Monday mark | 79.56−3.2% on the week | 48.51+1.2% on the week |
| Sep 21, 2026Monday mark | 74.47−6.4% on the week | 47.64−1.8% on the week |
| Sep 28, 2026Monday mark | 72.74−2.3% on the week | 43.61−8.5% on the week |
| Oct 5, 2026Monday mark | 69.12−5.0% on the week | 40.64−6.8% on the week |
| Oct 12, 2026Monday mark | 61.60−10.9% on the week | 37.71−7.2% on the week |
| Oct 19, 2026Monday mark | 61.56−0.1% on the week | 37.94+0.6% on the week |
Green edge marks the set that did better that week. Levels are the live weekly marks in data/indices.json; divisor changes (the Sep 30 rebase, the Oct 7 cap and the Oct 12 uncap) are not marks; the Oct 12 uncap restated every level here on the uncapped basis and left the weekly % moves unchanged. The months before Aug 24 are a reconstruction and are left out of this table.
What the two levels compare. Each index is 100 in its own release month, so the level is how much of its release-month value the set's chase cards still hold. On the Nov 9 mark Pitch Black holds about 56% of its July value and Chaos Rising about 33% of its May value (62% and 38% at the Oct 19 mark the tables use). On that measure Pitch Black has held up better, and that is the headline.
Why this page changed its answer. On Sep 26 this page started both sets at 100 on Aug 24, the day we began tracking them, and on that window Chaos Rising looked steadier. Measured from release, most of Chaos Rising's drop came early: our monthly reconstruction (rebuilt from PriceCharting history, not a live mark) has it at 56.97 by July, two months in. Pitch Black, thirteen weeks after its release, is at 61.56 on the Oct 19 mark. The Aug 24 window favors Chaos Rising (down 25.8% vs 30.0%), and so did the latest week, when Chaos Rising rose 0.6% and Pitch Black slipped 0.1%.
The cards and the boxes. Mega Darkrai ex SIR is the top sold comp in either set at $156.59, and Pitch Black's top three add up to $356.09 against $291.00. All six medians are lower than on this page's previous read. In Chaos Rising the gold Greninja ($128.00) has moved ahead of the Greninja SIR ($125.00). The ETB lows are four cents apart. Pitch Black's booster box low is $175.00 to Chaos Rising's $184.95, but those are asks, and Pitch Black has 45 boxes listed to Chaos Rising's 5.
What the tape does not say. The live marks only go back to Aug 24; the earlier months are a reconstruction. Chaos Rising is two months older, so it has had more time to fall. One week can reverse a 10% move. The next Monday mark goes on the index pages whether it helps this verdict or not. Both index pages carry the full 36-card baskets: Pitch Black Chase Index and Chaos Rising Chase Index.