Each set's index starts at 100 in its own release month: Jan 2025 for Prismatic Evolutions and Nov 2024 for Surging Sparks. At the Sep 28 mark Prismatic Evolutions sat at 70.82, about 71% of its release-month level twenty months on. At the Oct 4 mark Surging Sparks sat at 66.00, about 66%, twenty-three months on. Over the same calendar months, Jan 2025 to Jul 2026, the monthly reconstruction has Prismatic Evolutions down 19.1% and Surging Sparks down 32.8%. The chase cards are not close: Umbreon ex SIR sold for a median $1,125.00 (30 sales, Sep 24–Oct 1) against Pikachu ex SIR at $226.25 (30 sales, Sep 12–Oct 1). Surging Sparks is the cheaper door: ETB lowest asks $114.95 vs $129.99 on Oct 5.
Affiliate links — ShopCardHub earns an eBay Partner Network commission on qualifying purchases at no extra cost to you. Any figure shown is the lowest live single-unit ask, not a sold comp.
Two set indices, six sold comps, four sealed asks. The index rows decide the headline. The chase rows widen it. The sealed rows are asks, and they are where Surging Sparks wins.
| Read Oct 5, 2026 | Prismatic EvolutionsSV8.5 · released Jan 17, 2025 | Surging SparksSV08 · released Nov 8, 2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Index levellatest mark · sold basis · 100 = the set's release month | 70.82Sep 28, 2026 mark · Prismatic Evolutions Chase Index (PRIS25) · 100 = Jan 2025 (release) · 49 chase cards priced | 66.00Oct 4, 2026 mark · Surging Sparks Set Index (SSP24) · 100 = Nov 2024 (release) · 249 of 252 cards priced |
| Since releaserelease month to the latest mark | −29.2%100 (Jan 2025) → 70.82, about twenty months | −34.0%100 (Nov 2024) → 66.00, about twenty-three months |
| Jan 2025 → Jul 2026monthly reconstruction, same calendar months on both | −19.1%100.00 → 80.94 | −32.8%104.11 → 69.93 |
| #1 chase cardsold comp, ungraded | Umbreon ex SIR #161/131$1,125.00median of 30 sales, Sep 24–Oct 1 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → | Pikachu ex SIR #238/191$226.25median of 30 sales, Sep 12–Oct 1 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → |
| #2 chase cardsold comp, ungraded | Sylveon ex SIR #156/131$425.50median of 30 sales, Sep 9–Oct 4 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → | Latias ex SIR #239/191$165.55median of 30 sales, Sep 20–Oct 3 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → |
| #3 chase cardsold comp, ungraded | Leafeon ex SIR #144/131$269.99median of 30 sales, Sep 5–Oct 4 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → | Milotic ex SIR #237/191$111.00median of 30 sales, Sep 10–Oct 1 · ungraded · PriceChartingShop on eBay → |
| Top three, added upsum of the three medians above | $1,820.49sold comps, read Oct 5 | $502.80sold comps, read Oct 5 |
| Elite Trainer Boxlive eBay asks, sealed only · lower is the cheaper entry | $129.99lowest ask · 26 live · Oct 5, 2026 · an ask, not a saleShop ETBs on eBay → | $114.95lowest ask · 9 live · Oct 5, 2026 · an ask, not a saleShop ETBs on eBay → |
| Booster bundlelive eBay asks, sealed only · lower is the cheaper entry | $74.00lowest ask · 27 live · Oct 5, 2026 · an ask, not a saleShop Booster bundles on eBay → | $54.99lowest ask · 33 live · Oct 5, 2026 · an ask, not a saleShop Booster bundles on eBay → |
Green edge marks the side the row favors; on the sealed rows that is the cheaper entry. Singles are sold comps: PriceCharting completed sales, the median of the 30 most recent, window shown per cell. Sealed figures are live eBay asks on Oct 5, 2026, read through our comps endpoint with bundles, lots, multi-box and Costco two-packs, empty or opened boxes, accessories and Pokémon Center exclusives filtered out; counts are the listings that survived the filter among those the endpoint returned (50 per search, 32 for the Surging Sparks ETB search). An ask is what a seller wants, not what a box sold for. Index levels are sold-basis, 100 = each set's release month. ShopCardHub participates in the eBay Partner Network.
Prismatic Evolutions wins on every sold-basis row. Measured from each set's release month it has kept about 71% of its level against Surging Sparks' 66%. Over the eighteen calendar months both reconstructions cover, Jan 2025 to Jul 2026, it lost 19.1% against 32.8%. Its top three chase cards add up to $1,820.49 against $502.80, and Umbreon ex SIR alone is more than twice the whole Surging Sparks top three.
The case for Surging Sparks is price of entry. An ETB is about $15 cheaper at the lowest ask and a booster bundle about $19 cheaper. Its headline card, Pikachu ex SIR, sells in the low $200s, not four figures. If you want a 2024 Scarlet & Violet set with a recognizable chase for less money, this is it. The tape says it has been the weaker hold, not that it will stay one.
What the tape does not say. The two indices are built differently. PRIS25 is a chase index of 49 hits; SSP24 is a full-set index of 249 cards with a 25% single-card cap, so commons and uncommons dilute its moves. Read the levels as each set's own path from release, not as one scale. SSP24 has one live mark (Oct 4) and PRIS25 six weekly marks (Aug 24 to Sep 28); every month before those is a monthly reconstruction from PriceCharting price history on today's basket, not live marks (method). Both sets sit below their release month, so "held value better" means lost less. The sealed figures are asks, and only nine clean Surging Sparks ETB listings came back on Oct 5, so that low is thin.
If the question is which set to hold, the tape favors Prismatic Evolutions on the index and on the chase cards. If the question is which is cheaper to get into, it is Surging Sparks. Both index pages carry the full baskets: Prismatic Evolutions Chase Index and Surging Sparks Set Index.